Explanation
The Student's t distribution is a continuous distribution, symmetric around zero, similar to the standard normal but with heavier tails. This reflects the extra uncertainty that exists when the population variance is unknown and is estimated from the sample. The parameter governing it is the degrees of freedom \( \nu \), which in the most common case (a sample of size \( n \)) equal \( n - 1 \). The more degrees of freedom, the closer the t distribution gets to the standard normal: from \( \nu \approx 30 \) onward the practical difference is minimal.
It is mainly used in three contexts: (1) confidence intervals for a mean when \( \sigma \) is unknown; (2) hypothesis tests on means (one-sample t-test, independent two-sample t-test, or paired-samples t-test); and (3) inference on regression coefficients. The heavy tails make the critical values of t larger than those of the normal for the same significance level, producing wider confidence intervals and more conservative decisions when the sample is small.
Formula
$$ f(x)= \frac{\Gamma\left(\frac{\nu+1}{2}\right)} {\sqrt{\nu\pi}\,\Gamma\left(\frac{\nu}{2}\right)} \left(1+\frac{x^2}{\nu}\right)^{-(\nu+1)/2} $$
Parameters
- ν (nu): degrees of freedom of the distribution.
Worked example
Situation: The reaction time (in ms) of a sample of \(n = 10\) drivers is measured. Assuming the population variance is unknown, the test statistic follows a Student's \(t\) distribution with \(\nu = n - 1 = 9\) degrees of freedom.
Question 1: What is the cumulative probability \(P(T \leq 2.262)\) with \(\nu = 9\)?
Solution: Looking up the CDF of \(t_{9}\) at \(t = 2.262\): \[ P(T \leq 2.262) \approx 0.975 \] That is, 97.5% of the values of the \(t_9\) distribution lie below 2.262. Equivalently, the right tail is \(P(T > 2.262) = 0.025\).
Question 2: What is the critical value \(t^*\) for a two-tailed test at level \(\alpha = 0.05\) with \(\nu = 9\)?
Solution: In a two-tailed test at 5% we need the quantile that leaves \(\alpha/2 = 0.025\) in each tail, that is \(P(T \leq t^*) = 0.975\): \[ t^*_{0.025,\,9} = 2.262 \] If the statistic \(|t_{\text{obs}}| > 2.262\), we reject \(H_0\) at the 5% level.
Interpretation: With only 9 degrees of freedom the tails of the \(t\) distribution are heavier than those of the standard normal (where the two-tailed critical value at 5% would be 1.96). As \(\nu\) grows, \(t_\nu\) converges to the standard normal and the critical values approach \(\pm 1.96\).