Explanation
The normal distribution models continuous measurements that cluster around a mean value \( \mu \) and become less frequent farther from the center. Its bell-shaped curve is symmetric: values equally far above and below the mean are equally likely. The standard deviation \( \sigma \) controls the spread; the empirical rule states that approximately 68% of values fall within \( \mu \pm \sigma \), 95% within \( \mu \pm 2\sigma \) and 99.7% within \( \mu \pm 3\sigma \).
The Central Limit Theorem guarantees that the mean of a large sample tends to follow a normal distribution regardless of the original distribution of the data, which explains its prominence in inferential statistics. Use it when your variable is continuous, arises as the sum or average of many small independent factors, and doesn't have a hard lower bound limiting its domain. Heights, exam scores, measurement errors and many manufacturing variables are common examples.
Formula
\( f(x)=\frac{1}{\sigma\sqrt{2\pi}}e^{-\frac{(x-\mu)^2}{2\sigma^2}} \)
Parameters
- μ (mu): mean or center of the distribution.
- σ (sigma): standard deviation, which controls the spread.
Worked example
Situation: The height of adults in a population follows a normal distribution with mean \(\mu = 170\) cm and standard deviation \(\sigma = 8\) cm. A person is selected at random.
Question 1: What is the probability that they are 178 cm or shorter, that is, \(P(X \leq 178)\)?
Solution: We standardize by subtracting the mean and dividing by the standard deviation: \[ Z = \frac{178 - 170}{8} = \frac{8}{8} = 1.00 \] Looking up the standard normal table (or the CDF): \[ P(X \leq 178) = P(Z \leq 1.00) \approx 0.8413 \] That is, approximately 84.13% of people are 178 cm or shorter.
Question 2: What is the 95th percentile? That is, what height \(x\) satisfies \(P(X \leq x) = 0.95\)?
Solution: The 95th quantile of the standard normal is \(z_{0.95} \approx 1.6449\). Undoing the standardization: \[ x = \mu + z_{0.95} \cdot \sigma = 170 + 1.6449 \times 8 \approx 183.16 \text{ cm} \] Only 5% of the population exceeds 183.16 cm.
Interpretation: The mean of 170 cm is the point of maximum density; the empirical rule indicates that 68% of people are between 162 and 178 cm (\(\mu \pm \sigma\)). The 95th percentile is useful, for example, for sizing doors or ergonomic equipment that should accommodate 95% of the population.