P(X = k) — p from 0.05 to 0.50
| k | p = 0.05 | p = 0.10 | p = 0.15 | p = 0.20 | p = 0.25 | p = 0.30 | p = 0.35 | p = 0.40 | p = 0.45 | p = 0.50 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5987 | 0.3487 | 0.1969 | 0.1074 | 0.0563 | 0.0282 | 0.0135 | 0.0060 | 0.0025 | 0.0010 |
| 1 | 0.3151 | 0.3874 | 0.3474 | 0.2684 | 0.1877 | 0.1211 | 0.0725 | 0.0403 | 0.0207 | 0.0098 |
| 2 | 0.0746 | 0.1937 | 0.2759 | 0.3020 | 0.2816 | 0.2335 | 0.1757 | 0.1209 | 0.0763 | 0.0439 |
| 3 | 0.0105 | 0.0574 | 0.1298 | 0.2013 | 0.2503 | 0.2668 | 0.2522 | 0.2150 | 0.1665 | 0.1172 |
| 4 | 0.0010 | 0.0112 | 0.0401 | 0.0881 | 0.1460 | 0.2001 | 0.2377 | 0.2508 | 0.2384 | 0.2051 |
| 5 | 0.0001 | 0.0015 | 0.0085 | 0.0264 | 0.0584 | 0.1029 | 0.1536 | 0.2007 | 0.2340 | 0.2461 |
| 6 | 0.0000 | 0.0001 | 0.0012 | 0.0055 | 0.0162 | 0.0368 | 0.0689 | 0.1115 | 0.1596 | 0.2051 |
| 7 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0001 | 0.0008 | 0.0031 | 0.0090 | 0.0212 | 0.0425 | 0.0746 | 0.1172 |
| 8 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0001 | 0.0004 | 0.0014 | 0.0043 | 0.0106 | 0.0229 | 0.0439 |
| 9 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0001 | 0.0005 | 0.0016 | 0.0042 | 0.0098 |
| 10 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0001 | 0.0003 | 0.0010 |
P(X ≤ k) — p from 0.05 to 0.50
| k | p = 0.05 | p = 0.10 | p = 0.15 | p = 0.20 | p = 0.25 | p = 0.30 | p = 0.35 | p = 0.40 | p = 0.45 | p = 0.50 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5987 | 0.3487 | 0.1969 | 0.1074 | 0.0563 | 0.0282 | 0.0135 | 0.0060 | 0.0025 | 0.0010 |
| 1 | 0.9139 | 0.7361 | 0.5443 | 0.3758 | 0.2440 | 0.1493 | 0.0860 | 0.0464 | 0.0233 | 0.0107 |
| 2 | 0.9885 | 0.9298 | 0.8202 | 0.6778 | 0.5256 | 0.3828 | 0.2616 | 0.1673 | 0.0996 | 0.0547 |
| 3 | 0.9990 | 0.9872 | 0.9500 | 0.8791 | 0.7759 | 0.6496 | 0.5138 | 0.3823 | 0.2660 | 0.1719 |
| 4 | 0.9999 | 0.9984 | 0.9901 | 0.9672 | 0.9219 | 0.8497 | 0.7515 | 0.6331 | 0.5044 | 0.3770 |
| 5 | 1.0000 | 0.9999 | 0.9986 | 0.9936 | 0.9803 | 0.9527 | 0.9051 | 0.8338 | 0.7384 | 0.6230 |
| 6 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 0.9999 | 0.9991 | 0.9965 | 0.9894 | 0.9740 | 0.9452 | 0.8980 | 0.8281 |
| 7 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 0.9999 | 0.9996 | 0.9984 | 0.9952 | 0.9877 | 0.9726 | 0.9453 |
| 8 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 0.9999 | 0.9995 | 0.9983 | 0.9955 | 0.9893 |
| 9 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 0.9999 | 0.9997 | 0.9990 |
| 10 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 |
How to use these tables
Before looking up a value, identify the three pieces of information in the problem: the number of trials n, the probability of success p on each trial, and the number of successes k.
- Choose n from the “n (trials)” dropdown. The table will update and display rows from k = 0 through k = n.
- Select the appropriate tab: use P(X = k) for the probability of exactly k successes or P(X ≤ k) for the probability of at most k successes.
- Choose the p range with the p ≤ 0.50 or p > 0.50 buttons, then find the column for the probability of success.
- Find row k. Its intersection with column p is the requested probability; you can also click the cell to see the value identified.
- Combine values when needed: for P(X > k), subtract the cumulative probability from 1; for an interval P(a ≤ X ≤ b), subtract P(X ≤ a − 1) from P(X ≤ b).
Example: for 10 trials with p = 0.30, to find the probability of exactly 4 successes, choose n = 10, open P(X = k), and use the cell where row k = 4 meets column p = 0.30.
Binomial Distribution
A binomial experiment consists of n independent trials, each with probability p of success. The number of successes X follows a B(n, p) distribution with probability mass function:
\( P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k}, \quad k = 0, 1, \ldots, n \)
The mean is μ = np and the variance σ² = np(1 − p).
Useful properties
- Symmetry: P(X = k; n, p) = P(X = n − k; n, 1 − p). Use this for p > 0.5 by looking at the equivalent column with p' = 1 − p.
- Complement: P(X > k) = 1 − P(X ≤ k).
- Interval: P(a ≤ X ≤ b) = P(X ≤ b) − P(X ≤ a − 1).
- For large n and small p, the binomial is well approximated by a Poisson distribution with λ = np.
- For large n, the binomial is well approximated by a Normal distribution N(np, np(1−p)).
Related tables and calculators
Frequently asked questions
- How do you use the binomial distribution table? Fix n and p; the row is the number of successes k. Each cell gives P(X = k) or the cumulative P(X ≤ k), depending on the tab selected.
- What is the difference between P(X = k) and P(X ≤ k)? P(X = k) is the probability of exactly k successes; P(X ≤ k) is the cumulative one, the sum of the probabilities from 0 up to k.
- When should you approximate the binomial table by the normal or the Poisson? With large n and moderate p, the binomial is approximated by the normal table; with large n and small p (λ = n·p moderate), by the Poisson table.